PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 23 21.3%Führend unter 16 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
4912,6 €
Liquidität
20.168,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
9.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
16. Sept. 26, 22:24 UTC1. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next Claude Opus released by which date?
PolymarketOpus 5.2 released in September?
Manifold MarketsClaude Opus 4.7 METR 50% time horizon
Manifold MarketsClaude Opus 5.1+ (Anthropic) release date
Manifold MarketsNext Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
- Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus.
- Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation.
- Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
- Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba+2.0pt69%
- Moonshot-9.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.3pt6%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 75.086,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 61.476,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.3pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt15.5%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.5pt85.4%
- Moonshot-0.3pt9.7%
- Z.ai-3.4pt1.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%98%
- Above 2.55%+18.0pt94%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 61.059,8 €
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Next Claude Opus released on??
- Polymarket bewertet September 23 mit 21% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Next Claude Opus released on? entschieden?
- Next Claude Opus released on? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Next Claude Opus released on? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.