KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Claude 89.7%Führend unter 9 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
76 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
24.208 €
Liquidität
21.077,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
14. Sept. 26, 16:00 UTC21. Sept. 26, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 70.257,4 €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54.438,7 €
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 20.903,9 €
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-0.5pt89%
- October 31-2.0pt72%
- September 30-5.0pt11%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Best AI this week?
- Kalshi bewertet Claude mit 90% (Stand: 15. September 2026).
- Wann wird Best AI this week entschieden?
- Best AI this week soll am 21. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Best AI this week abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.