KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 20.8% 54%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
9566,2 €
Liquidität
9066,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
14. Sept. 26, 16:00 UTC21. Sept. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will OpenAI share an official framework for disclosing misalignment incidents by the end of October 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
KalshiAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If OpenAI scores above 20.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated values for the week of Sep 14, 2026.
- If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If OpenAI scores above 21.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 70.257,4 €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54.438,7 €
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.7%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 21.907 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 21.907 €
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 20.903,9 €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für OpenAI market share this week?
- Kalshi bewertet Above 20.8% mit 54% (Stand: 15. September 2026).
- Wann wird OpenAI market share this week entschieden?
- OpenAI market share this week soll am 21. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird OpenAI market share this week abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If OpenAI scores above 20.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.