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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Wissenschaft
  3. Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

1.5% (24h)WissenschaftWeatherYearly3Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
<4m
<4m 51%+4.0%
Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

95,1 €

Liquidität

8250,1 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

24.3% / 30.0%

Spread

23.5%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-1.1%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

20. Nov. 25, 23:561. Okt. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

<4m51%

Regeln

This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

Polymarket
  • This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately.
  • Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
  • The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km).
  • Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
  • The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools.

Verwandte Märkte

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

203,4 €
2nd hottest: 85%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

173,3 €
Ja: 20.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

6,7 €
Ja: 32%KalshiKALSHI
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

5,6 €
Ja: 31%KalshiKALSHI
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

0 €
Above 5: 0%KalshiKALSHI
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

3741,5 €
2: 63%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,722.62+1.63%EthereumETH$1,655.46+0.90%SolanaSOL$64.99+0.55%HyperliquidHYPE$55.68-0.33%XRPXRP$1.11-0.32%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+0.71%

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Regeln

This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

Polymarket
  • This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately.
  • Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.
  • The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km).
  • Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
  • The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools.