KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 95%
Marktqualitat
80 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
1154,8 €
Liquidität
194.396,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
1. Jan. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
KalshiMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PolymarketWhat will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:USGS
Offene Märkte
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 141.050,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 129.051,1 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 72.154,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 71.773,9 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 71.632,8 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027? entschieden?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.