Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseIndonesia 53.3%Führend unter 23 Optionen
Prognostiker
32
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet6. Jan. 26, 22:00 UTC12. Jan. 27, 22:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PolymarketWhat will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Last year: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2023
- This year: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2024
- If two places tie they both resolve