Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognosePhilippines 32%Führend unter 22 Optionen
Prognostiker
32
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-48.6 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet6. Jan. 26, 22:00 UTC12. Jan. 27, 22:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWill there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026?
Manifold MarketsMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PolymarketWhat will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PolymarketWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
KalshiRegeln
Last year: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2023
- This year: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2024
- If two places tie they both resolve
Offene Märkte
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 232.515,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 227.313,9 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 186.088,3 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 66.667,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 28.645,4 €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Philippines mit 32% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026? entschieden?
- Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026? soll am 12. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Last year: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2023