KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before 2035 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
Before 2035 83.2%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Before 2035 83.2%Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
728,5 €
Open Interest
147.462,9 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Before 2035Spread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
20. Dez. 25, 03:00 UTC1. Jan. 29, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before 2035
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a Nobel Prize be awarded for work on superconductors before 2034?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize awarded for Ozempic (or GLP-1 drugs) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on Mars before a Nobel Prize is awarded for a discovery relating to dark matter?
Manifold MarketsWill a Nobel prize be awarded for the invention of AGI before 2050?
Manifold MarketsHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiRegeln
If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:the Clay Mathematics Institute
- The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem. The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof (unless the market specifically includes counterexamples). Announcements of submitted solutions, peer-reviewed publications without CMI verification, or partial solutions do not qualify. If a mathematician solves a problem but declines the monetary prize, the market still resolves to Yes if CMI officially announces the prize award. The Poincaré Conjecture has already been solved by Grigori Perelman.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before 2035
- If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2030
- If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2029
- If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.