KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before 2035 50.4%Führend unter 5 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
43 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
546,4 €
Liquidität
28.627,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
7.7 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
20. Dez. 25, 3:002. Jan. 27, 3:00
Trends
Regeln
If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:the Clay Mathematics Institute
- The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem.
- The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof (unless the market specifically includes counterexamples).
- Announcements of submitted solutions, peer-reviewed publications without CMI verification, or partial solutions do not qualify.
- If a mathematician solves a problem but declines the monetary prize, the market still resolves to Yes if CMI officially announces the prize award.
- The Poincaré Conjecture has already been solved by Grigori Perelman.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded??
- Kalshi bewertet Before 2035 mit 50% (Stand: 4. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded? entschieden?
- When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded? soll am 2. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
