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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Wissenschaft
  3. How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

0.1% (24h)WissenschaftYearly6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
14–16
14–16 36%+0.5%
Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat

52 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

455,3 €

Liquidität

10.473,9 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

0.3% / 1.0%

Spread

233.3%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-0.6%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

31. Dez. 25, 17:1431. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

14–1636%

Regeln

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.