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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Wissenschaft
  3. How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

WissenschaftWeatherYearly5Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 5
Above 5 0%
Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat

40 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

1,1 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

91.0% / 97.0%

Spread

6.6%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

15. Mai 26, 20:001. Dez. 26, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Above 683%

Regeln

If more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If more than 6 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 7 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 8 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 9 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 10 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

Verwandte Märkte

How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

0 €
Above 3: 62%KalshiKALSHI
How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

0 €
Above 3: 72%KalshiKALSHI
How many major Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

How many major Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

0 €
Above 0: 0%KalshiKALSHI
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2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

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Regeln

If more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If more than 6 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 7 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 8 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 9 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 10 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.