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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Weather
  3. How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

26.0% (24h)WeatherYearly5Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 3
Above 3 62%+26.0%
Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

0,6 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

61.0% / 97.0%

Spread

59.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten

15. Mai 26, 20:001. Dez. 26, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Above 362%

Regeln

If more than 1 hurricane of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If more than 2 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 3 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 4 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

Verwandte Märkte

How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

0 €
Above 5: 0%KalshiKALSHI
How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

0 €
Above 3: 72%KalshiKALSHI
How many major Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

How many major Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

0 €
Above 0: 0%KalshiKALSHI
2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

203,5 €
2nd hottest: 86%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

173,3 €
Ja: 20.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

95,1 €
<4m: 52%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,925.75+2.78%EthereumETH$1,658.91+2.42%SolanaSOL$65.25+2.69%HyperliquidHYPE$56.02+0.47%XRPXRP$1.12+1.31%DogecoinDOGE$0.0852+2.28%

Regeln

If more than 1 hurricane of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If more than 2 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 3 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 4 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.