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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Wissenschaft
  3. How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

4.0% (24h)WissenschaftWeatherYearly5Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 2
Above 2 67%-4.0%
Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

3,3 €

Liquidität

136,8 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

65.0% / 69.0%

Spread

6.2%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten

1. Apr. 26, 14:002. Dez. 26, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Above 267%

Regeln

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 0 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 1 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 2 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 3 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Verwandte Märkte

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be this month?

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be this month?

0 €
Above 0: 99%KalshiKALSHI
2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

203,4 €
2nd hottest: 85%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will global CO2 emissions decrease in 2026?

173,3 €
Ja: 20.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

95,1 €
<4m: 50%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

6,7 €
Ja: 32%KalshiKALSHI
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

5,6 €
Ja: 31%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,741.49+1.74%EthereumETH$1,654.91+1.01%SolanaSOL$65.03+0.77%HyperliquidHYPE$55.81-0.44%XRPXRP$1.12-0.17%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+0.99%

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Regeln

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 0 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 1 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 2 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 3 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.