KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 66%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
5722,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
29.0% / 34.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
27. Juni 25, 20:45 UTC1. Jan. 50, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which is first: Crewed Starships to Mars, or California high speed rail?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada have high-speed rail by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
KalshiWhich is first: Moonbase, or California high speed rail?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRegeln
If a human lands on Mars before California starts its high speed rail service for the public before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:NASAESASpaceXBlue Originthe Chinese National Space AdministrationRoscosmosthe California High-Speed Rail Authoritythe Federal Railroad Administrationthe California Department of TransportationThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
Offene Märkte
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 103.065,4 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57.371,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 57.371,5 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 817.857 €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 66% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? entschieden?
- Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? soll am 1. Januar 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a human lands on Mars before California starts its high speed rail service for the public before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.