Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Google 43.8%+10.0ptFührend unter 20 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
46 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
3163,4 €
Liquidität
13.458,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
10.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+5.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
12. Aug. 26, 23:54 UTC1. Nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
PolymarketSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
PolymarketWhich AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
KalshiWill the U.S. publish the text of its Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 961.071,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 741.910,1 €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 701.281,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 685.821 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 907.202,1 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October??
- Polymarket bewertet Google mit 44% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October? entschieden?
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October? soll am 1. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.