Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Google 28%Führend unter 21 Optionen
Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1368,3 €
Liquidität
3912 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
18. Sept. 26, 00:06 UTC1. Dez. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?
PolymarketWhich AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
KalshiWill the U.S. publish the text of its Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI lab consult a theologian for alignment research in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $79,750 or above99%
- $79,500 or above99%
- $79,000 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $65,500 or above98%
- $73,500 or above-2.0pt97%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 512.512,7 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes56.4%
- No43.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 284.887,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 284.305,1 €
KALSHIETH price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $1,800 or above99%
- $2,000 or above98%
- $2,480 or above98%
+37 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 256.960,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 256.928,7 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 180-199+6.0pt40.8%
- 200-219+3.0pt35.9%
- 220-239-3.5pt10.7%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- $80,600 or above99%
- $80,200 or above99%
- $80,700 or above98%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 359.338,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 227.199,6 €
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 20, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- Google market share this week
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 20, 2026?
- ETH price range on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 20, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November??
- Polymarket bewertet Google mit 28% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November? entschieden?
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November? soll am 1. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.