PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
1.0-1.2% 50%Führend unter 6 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
270,7 €
Liquidität
4030,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
9.1 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+5.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
31. Juli 26, 23:46 UTC30. Okt. 26, 06:00 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
PolymarketUS GDP growth in Q3 2026?
PolymarketEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
Polymarket[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 90,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 358.548,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 35.589,4 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 554.348,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 33.831,6 €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes-1.0pt23%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 314.662,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 10.958,8 €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 17.684,1 €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt98%
- Above -0.4%97%
- Above -0.2%+1.0pt96%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 75.958,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026??
- Polymarket bewertet 1.0-1.2% mit 50% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026? entschieden?
- Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026? soll am 30. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.