Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026?
WirtschaftOne-OffMacro & Economy3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 93%
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Veraltet29. Apr. 25, 07:25 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Will the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceed -1.6% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExWill the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceed -1.2% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExWill the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Canada's Real GDP exceed -0.8% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q4 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Will resolve with: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/250228/dq250228a-eng.htm?HPA=1&indid=3278-1&indgeo=0
- Includes Q4 2026, so may need to resolve a bit later if the data isn't out yet.
Offene Märkte
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 323.760,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 25.322,6 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 523.015,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 22.020,6 €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 611.805,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.786,9 €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.510,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 10.510,6 €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7679,2 €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 93% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026? entschieden?
- Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Will resolve with: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/250228/dq250228a-eng.htm?HPA=1&indid=3278-1&indgeo=0