MyriadAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 6%
Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
9,1 €
Liquidität
1314,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
-
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
12. Jan. 26, 16:0430. Sept. 26, 23:59
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes6%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach 24h-Volumen| Plattform | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketAktivste | 97% | +94pt | 61.533,1 € | 194.951,5 € | vor 15 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| MyriadDiese Seite | 94% | +91pt | 9,1 € | 1314,8 € | vor 7 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
1.1%2Mon
+0.0%3%
-0.0%97%
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen205.465,8 €
24h-Volumen61.533,1 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
**Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period**: From the publication date through September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
- **Resolution Criteria:**
- - Resolves to "**Yes**" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern within the Market Period. - Resolves to “**No**” if not.
- **Resolution Details:**
- - A potential “Yes” resolution requires credible sources to confirm that the core institutions of the Islamic Republic—such as the Office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, or IRGC authority under clerical control—have been dismantled, rendered inoperative, or replaced by a fundamentally different system of governance, or that they have otherwise lost de facto control over most of Iran’s population.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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KALSHI
KALSHI
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
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MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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**Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period**: From the publication date through September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
- **Resolution Criteria:**
- - Resolves to "**Yes**" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern within the Market Period. - Resolves to “**No**” if not.
- **Resolution Details:**
- - A potential “Yes” resolution requires credible sources to confirm that the core institutions of the Islamic Republic—such as the Office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, or IRGC authority under clerical control—have been dismantled, rendered inoperative, or replaced by a fundamentally different system of governance, or that they have otherwise lost de facto control over most of Iran’s population.