Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 75%
Prognostiker
22
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet1. Dez. 25, 02:32 UTC31. Dez. 40, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will WW3 happen before GTA6?
Manifold MarketsWill WW3 happen before GTA8?
Manifold MarketsWill WW3 start before gta6?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves YES if a World War III occurs before the official release date of Grand Theft Auto 7.
- Resolution will be determined by whether a formal declaration of war or widely recognized international conflict meeting the definition of World War III has occurred prior to GTA 7's release.
- If a majority of news organizations call a conflict WW III, that will also be sufficient.
- GTA 7 is estimated to release sometime between 2032 and 2037, though no official release date has been announced.
- The market resolves NO if GTA 7 releases without a World War III occurring beforehand.
- Rockstar Games has not officially announced Grand Theft Auto 7, making the exact resolution date uncertain.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 581.272,5 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 55,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 96.847,5 €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will WW3 happen before GTA7??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 75% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will WW3 happen before GTA7? entschieden?
- Will WW3 happen before GTA7? soll am 31. Dezember 2040 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will WW3 happen before GTA7? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves YES if a World War III occurs before the official release date of Grand Theft Auto 7.