Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 76.1%
Prognostiker
40
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
27. Aug. 23, 15:37 UTC8. Dez. 50, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?
KalshiWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028
Manifold MarketsWhen will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy stop being president of Ukraine before the Russia-Ukraine war ends.
Manifold MarketsWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine through the end of 2026?
FutuurWhere will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves when one of them is confirmed dead and the other is alive.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.0pt77%
- September 18+4.0pt72%
- September 11+8.0pt67%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 512.631,6 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-2.5pt27.8%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt84.2%
- Yes-5.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 266.473,7 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 56,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 170.430,2 €
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 76% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy? entschieden?
- Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy? soll am 8. Dezember 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves when one of them is confirmed dead and the other is alive.