Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 69%
Prognostiker
529
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 54 Minuten
Verzogert10. Nov. 24, 04:57 UTC1. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump visit Ukraine during his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Putin lose his position as President of Russia before the end of his term, May 6, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Kash Patel visit Russia before November?
KalshiYear of Elon Musk's next visit to Russia
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Trump visit in 2026?
KalshiHow many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026?
KalshiRegeln
resolves yes if trump steps foot in russia by the end of his term
- Update 2024-09-12 (PST): - Visiting a Russian embassy in a country other than Russia does not count as visiting Russia (AI summary of creator comment)
Offene Märkte
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 581.272,5 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 55,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 96.847,5 €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump visit Russia during his term??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 69% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump visit Russia during his term? entschieden?
- Will Trump visit Russia during his term? soll am 1. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump visit Russia during his term? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: resolves yes if trump steps foot in russia by the end of his term