Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 70.3%
Prognostiker
136
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert7. Feb. 23, 18:40 UTC1. Jan. 30, 08:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
will any AI become a citizen of any internationally recognized country before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Catalonia (Catalunya) gain internationally recognized independence before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?
Manifold MarketsYemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Must be largely undisputed.
- The most recent one as of market creation was South Sudan in 2011.