Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 88.1%
Prognostiker
33
Fragetyp
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet17. Juni 26, 21:25 UTC2. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Resolves YES if the U.S. military attacks Cuba before the 2026 midterm elections on Nov 3, 2026.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Update 2026-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified what counts as a military attack for resolution purposes:
- Counts (YES): Limited drone or missile strike, sustained bombing, full invasion
- Does NOT count (NO): Covert operatives conducting sabotage/assassination/kidnapping, or arming/directing a proxy group — unless done overtly under the US banner, or they lead to open war
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the US attack Cuba before the 2026 midterm elections??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 88% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the US attack Cuba before the 2026 midterm elections? entschieden?
- Will the US attack Cuba before the 2026 midterm elections? soll am 2. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the US attack Cuba before the 2026 midterm elections? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if the U.S. military attacks Cuba before the 2026 midterm elections on Nov 3, 2026.