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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Where will the US attack in 2026? [add your answer]
Manifold Markets

Where will the US attack in 2026? [add your answer]

PolitikKIGeopolitik6Mon
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
Iran 100%
Führend unter 43 Optionen
Prognostiker

262

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Tagen

Veraltet
6. Jan. 26, 11:1431. Dez. 26, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Greenland7%

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###Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves YES for any place where the US conducts military strikes, airstrikes, drone strikes, or armed military operations during 2026.
  • Resolution is based on official US government statements, credible news reporting from major outlets, or documented military action.
  • The US has already conducted a large-scale strike on Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro, so Venezuela would resolve YES if it is attacked again.
  • For an answer to resolve YES, there must be documented evidence of kinetic military action (strikes, raids, or armed operations) rather than non-military interventions, sanctions, or covert operations alone.
  • Multiple countries can resolve YES simultaneously.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

###Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • This market resolves YES for any place where the US conducts military strikes, airstrikes, drone strikes, or armed military operations during 2026.
  • Resolution is based on official US government statements, credible news reporting from major outlets, or documented military action.
  • The US has already conducted a large-scale strike on Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro, so Venezuela would resolve YES if it is attacked again.
  • For an answer to resolve YES, there must be documented evidence of kinetic military action (strikes, raids, or armed operations) rather than non-military interventions, sanctions, or covert operations alone.
  • Multiple countries can resolve YES simultaneously.