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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Regulierung
  3. Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?
Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

RegulierungKITechnikPolitikGeopolitik3J
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization" 78.6%
Führend unter 12 Optionen
Prognostiker

12

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden

Veraltet
9. Dez. 24, 19:391. Jan. 30, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"79%

Regeln

Any specific market resolves to "Yes" if by January 1, 2030, for the relevant entity, the criteria for "soft nationalization" or "hard nationalization" occur.

Manifold Markets
  • That market resolves to "No" otherwise.
  • If it is unclear on 1st January 2030 whether the criteria above are met, resolution will be delayed by up to 30 days.
  • If it is still unclear, the market will resolve NO.
  • The criteria for "soft" and "hard" nationalization are below.
  • Below that are clarifications on the relevant entities.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

Any specific market resolves to "Yes" if by January 1, 2030, for the relevant entity, the criteria for "soft nationalization" or "hard nationalization" occur.

Manifold Markets
  • That market resolves to "No" otherwise.
  • If it is unclear on 1st January 2030 whether the criteria above are met, resolution will be delayed by up to 30 days.
  • If it is still unclear, the market will resolve NO.
  • The criteria for "soft" and "hard" nationalization are below.
  • Below that are clarifications on the relevant entities.