Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 72.7%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet1. Juni 25, 23:50 UTC1. Jan. 50, 00:48 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, Palestine?
Manifold MarketsWill the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?
Manifold MarketsWill the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the International Court of Justice (ICJ) issues a final, legally binding judgment determining that the Russian Federation committed genocide, as defined by the 1948 Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide.
- The resolution will be based on official ICJ publications or reputable news sources reporting on the ICJ's final decision.
- If no such determination is made by the ICJ, the market will resolve to "No."
- The Genocide Convention, adopted in 1948, defines genocide and obligates signatory states to prevent and punish genocide, acts of genocide, incitement to genocide, and so on.
- Ukraine initiated proceedings against Russia at the ICJ after the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 470.753,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.050,2 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the ICJ determine that Russia committed genocide??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 73% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the ICJ determine that Russia committed genocide? entschieden?
- Will the ICJ determine that Russia committed genocide? soll am 1. Januar 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the ICJ determine that Russia committed genocide? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria