Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 5 years?
One-OffWirtschaft2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 68%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet11. Sept. 23, 01:05 UTC11. Sept. 28, 21:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be a massive global financial crisis, larger than any before seen in human history, before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?
Manifold MarketsUS economic state at the end of 2026?
PolymarketWill there be a Trump economic boom?
KalshiWill the US have an economic depression before January 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS economic recession in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
Its hard to quantify this exactly.
- At least according to this article the (mid-term) damage in global economic growth was about 2 trillion USD (https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/a-guide-to-the-financial-crisis--10-years-later/2018/09/10/114b76ba-af10-11e8-a20b-5f4f84429666_story.html).
- Anything reasonable near that number counts.
- If you have better ideas to measure this, comment below.
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 323.760,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 25.322,6 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 523.015,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 22.020,6 €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 611.805,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.786,9 €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.510,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 10.510,6 €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7679,2 €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 5 years??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 68% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 5 years? entschieden?
- Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 5 years? soll am 11. September 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 5 years? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Its hard to quantify this exactly.