KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above -5.5% of GDP 96%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
62 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2866 €
Liquidität
2650,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
7. Sept. 26, 19:00 UTC20. Apr. 27, 12:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US government budget balance in 2026
KalshiFrance’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiChina’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Annual UK Debt Interest Payments Exceed 20% of Government Budget Revenue by 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the United Kingdom’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:International Monetary Fund
- Important information: Negative values represent budget deficits.
- A higher, less-negative value represents a smaller deficit.
- For example, −4.0% is above −5.0%.
- “General government net lending/borrowing” is calculated as government revenue minus total expenditure.
- A negative value represents net borrowing, or a deficit, while a positive value represents net lending, or a surplus.
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 606,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.045,7 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 411.228,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026?
- Kalshi bewertet Above -5.5% of GDP mit 96% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026 entschieden?
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026 soll am 20. April 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026 abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the United Kingdom’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.