Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOther 54%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet6. März 22, 18:15 UTC1. Jan. 00, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0.1%
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be a massive global financial crisis, larger than any before seen in human history, before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?
Manifold MarketsWill the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
KalshiUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketMore white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiRegeln
From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7467/next-great-financial-crisis-in-the-us/
- Acceptable answers: full year, in format YYYY, i.e. "2022"
- Resolves to the year corresponding to the resolution made on the above Metaculus question. i.e. if the question resolves to "Mar 24, 2028", this market resolves to "2028".