Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet31. Jan. 23, 19:28 UTC31. Dez. 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which year will the first nuclear power plant in Poland start producing power?
Manifold MarketsWill unit 1 of the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant restart before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump follow through on his power plant/bridge threats?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy have a power plant in operation by the end of 2028?
ForecastExWill any country become a new nuclear power in 2026?
FutuurUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This prediction market resolves YES when the first Small Modular Reactor (SMR) power plant in Poland starts producing energy (including tests), as defined and determined by diverse mainstream media reports.
- If this does not happen before the January 1, 2029 deadline, however, the market resolves NO.
- „Pierwszy SMR powstanie w 2028 r.
- To już niebawem.
- I to jest czas realny do wykonania.” (Daniel Obajtek, 2023-01-31)
- „Mam taką nadzieję, że w 2028 r., te prace zdecydowanie przyspieszają, powstanie pierwszy SMR w Polsce.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 470.753,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.050,2 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the first SMR nuclear power plant in Poland produce energy before 2029??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the first SMR nuclear power plant in Poland produce energy before 2029? entschieden?
- Will the first SMR nuclear power plant in Poland produce energy before 2029? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the first SMR nuclear power plant in Poland produce energy before 2029? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This prediction market resolves YES when the first Small Modular Reactor (SMR) power plant in Poland starts producing energy (including tests), as defined and determined by diverse mainstream media reports.