FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 87%
Nein 87%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
825,9 €
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Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any serving head of state/government of a UN-recognised country become vegan by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine suffer nuclear power plant meltdowns during the Russia war?
Manifold MarketsWill AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketUS lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This event predicts whether any country will become a new nuclear-armed state between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, becoming a nuclear power means successfully possessing at least one operational nuclear weapon.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be authoritative international sources, including SIPRI and official government confirmations.
- If authoritative sources confirm that a country newly acquired operational nuclear weapons during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Countries that previously possessed nuclear weapons, even if dormant or undeclared, will not count as new nuclear powers.
