Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 73.1%
Prognostiker
90
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet18. Aug. 23, 12:37 UTC1. Jan. 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
PolymarketAfD in a German state government in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Will resolve YES if the AfD (Alternative for Germany) enters any federal or state government by the year 2030.
- Extensive polling data here: Neueste Wahlumfragen und Umfragewerte | DAWUM
- Related market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Symmetry/will-the-afd-still-exist-by-the-yea)
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 73% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030? entschieden?
- Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Will resolve YES if the AfD (Alternative for Germany) enters any federal or state government by the year 2030.