Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOther 59.9%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
32
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet26. Feb. 25, 03:03 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWill the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
Manifold MarketsWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiRegeln
This market pertains to the next German federal election, scheduled to occur on or before 25 March 2029.
- This market will resolve to the first Chancellor elected by the Bundestag following the next German federal election.
- If no federal election occurs by 2030, or an election is held but no Chancellor is elected before then, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
