Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseAfD 75%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
22
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet27. Feb. 25, 00:44 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will gain seats in the next Thuringian state election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves based on the results of the next German federal election.
- For each party listed:
- Resolves YES if the party wins more seats in the Bundestag compared to the number of seats it won in the 2025 federal election
- Resolves NO if the party wins the same number or fewer seats.
- If no election is held by 2030, all options will resolve NO.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which parties will gain seats in the next German federal election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet AfD mit 75% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which parties will gain seats in the next German federal election? entschieden?
- Which parties will gain seats in the next German federal election? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which parties will gain seats in the next German federal election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves based on the results of the next German federal election.