Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseAfD 89.6%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet27. Feb. 25, 00:44 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will gain seats in the next Thuringian state election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWho replaces Merz as Chancellor if he gets replaced before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves based on the results of the next German federal election.
- For each party listed:
- Resolves YES if the party wins more seats in the Bundestag compared to the number of seats it won in the 2025 federal election
- Resolves NO if the party wins the same number or fewer seats.
- If no election is held by 2030, all options will resolve NO.