KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
AfD · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
AfD 82%Führend unter 7 Optionen
AfD 82%Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
21.496 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
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AfDSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
28. Juli 26, 16:23 UTC25. März 30, 14:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · AfD
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
PolymarketNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiRegeln
If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Bundeswahlausschuss
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- AfD
- If AfD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- CDU/CSU
- If CDU/CSU wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SPD
- If SPD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Greens
- If Greens wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Left
- If The Left wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- FDP
- If FDP wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
- BSW
- If BSW wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.