Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
1.0 Pkt. (24h)One-OffForeign Exchange3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 86%-1.0pt
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
11.002,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
13.0% / 16.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
4
7d-Änderung
+2.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
3. Dez. 25, 17:17 UTC31. Dez. 26, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the governing coalition consisting of CDU/CSU and SPD breaks by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- For the purposes of this market, the coalition is considered broken if either CDU/CSU or SPD ceases to be a coalition partner in the federal government.
- A coalition break may be evidenced by: – a formal withdrawal from the coalition, – the resignation or dismissal of all ministers from one party, – or the appointment of a new federal government.
- If all ministers affiliated with one of the coalition parties resign or are dismissed, this may signal that party’s withdrawal from the coalition, even if one or more individuals remain in office as independents or continue without representing the party.
- If the coalition breaks and the sitting Chancellor remains in office with a new coalition or as a minority government, this market will still resolve to “Yes.”
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 86% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? entschieden?
- Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the governing coalition consisting of CDU/CSU and SPD breaks by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET.