KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Liberal Party 52.9%Führend unter 3 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
36 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
10,3 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
28. Juli 26, 16:30 UTC15. Okt. 30, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWhich coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill the German government raise the sales tax before the next federal election?
Manifold MarketsWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRegeln
If the named outcome wins the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Elections Canada
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
- See full rules for details.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Next Canadian federal election winner??
- Kalshi bewertet Liberal Party mit 53% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Next Canadian federal election winner? entschieden?
- Next Canadian federal election winner? soll am 15. Oktober 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Next Canadian federal election winner? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome wins the next Canadian federal election for the House of Commons, then the market resolves to Yes.