Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 76.7%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet8. Apr. 26, 15:32 UTC8. Apr. 27, 15:31 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if at least one federal Member of Parliament changes party affiliation while in office between April 7, 2026 and April 7, 2027.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from the House of Commons or confirmed reporting from major Canadian news outlets (CBC, CTV, Globe and Mail, National Post).
- The MP must formally join a different party caucus or sit as an independent after leaving their original party.
- The most recent floor crosser is Gladu.
- Will anyone else switch parties in the next year?