Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 88.5%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 55 Minuten
Verzogert30. Apr. 25, 17:32 UTC30. Apr. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Any Canadian federal MPs floor-cross in the next year?
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KalshiDate of the next Canadian Federal Election
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Manifold MarketsCA-28 House election: April Verlato vote percent
KalshiMD-06 House election: April McClain Delaney vote percent
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Canadian federal election is held on or before April 30, 2027.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
- Canada has recently conducted a federal election on April 28, 2025, resulting in the Liberal Party, led by Mark Carney, forming a minority government.
- (reuters.com) Under the Canada Elections Act, federal elections are scheduled every four years, with the next fixed date being October 15, 2029.
- However, the prime minister can request the governor general to dissolve Parliament, potentially leading to an earlier election.
