Aktuelle Community-Prognose
AfD 84.2%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
12
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet3. März 25, 23:06 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketWill United Russia gain seats in the 2026 Russian Duma Elections?
Manifold MarketsIf the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will win at least one seat in Saxony-Anhalt state election?
KalshiWill Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves based on the results of the next Thuringian state election.
- For each party listed:
- Resolves YES if the party wins more seats in the Landtag of Thuringia compared to the number of seats it won in the 2024 state election
- Resolves NO if the party wins the same number or fewer seats.
- If no election is held by 2030, all options will resolve NO.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which parties will gain seats in the next Thuringian state election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet AfD mit 84% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which parties will gain seats in the next Thuringian state election? entschieden?
- Which parties will gain seats in the next Thuringian state election? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which parties will gain seats in the next Thuringian state election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves based on the results of the next Thuringian state election.