Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 59%
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet4. Juni 26, 23:32 UTC30. Nov. 27, 21:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich cities will Russia enter by December 31?
PolymarketWill Russia enter Mykolaivka by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date?
PolymarketChina provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, Russia controls any part of Kramatorsk, Donetsk Oblast.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO at the close date.
- For the duration of the war, any YES resolution must be supported by a majority of the following sources:
- UAControlMap
- UkrDailyUpdate
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 363.008,4 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+3.0pt79.2%
- Yes-3.0pt20.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 245.496,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 30-1.0pt12%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 301%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 62,8 Mio. €
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by the end of November 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 59% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by the end of November 2027? entschieden?
- Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by the end of November 2027? soll am 30. November 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by the end of November 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria