Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026?
GeopolitikOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 95.2%
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12
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Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet8. Nov. 24, 17:24 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketRegeln
The delivery method of the device is irrelevant.
- The device itself must detonate causing a nuclear chain reaction and explosion.
- A dirty bomb does not cause a chain reaction and so will resolve to “No.”
- The territory of Ukraine is considered to be all territory claimed prior to the 2014 Russian invasion and seizure of Crimea and Donbas.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026? entschieden?
- Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Russia detonate a nuclear device on Ukraine soil by December 31, 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The delivery method of the device is irrelevant.