Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 86%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet29. Aug. 23, 02:46 UTC31. Dez. 30, 15:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Putin flee Russia before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Putin flee Russia in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?
Manifold MarketsEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if Putin leaves Russia for China, under circumstances that can reasonably be considered 'fleeing' (not a normal diplomatic visit, ongoing power struggle, alternate lieader in place in Moscow etc)
- Otherwise resolves NO