Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 96.6%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet1. Jan. 26, 04:30 UTC1. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump flee to Russia?
Manifold MarketsWill Putin flee Russia before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Putin flee to the PRC before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if Putin leaves Russia, under circumstances that can reasonably be considered 'fleeing' (not a normal diplomatic visit, ongoing power struggle, alternate leader in place in Moscow etc)
- Otherwise resolves NO
- Update 2026-01-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If there are multiple Putin impersonators or body doubles, the market will resolve based on the real Putin's actions, not those of any impersonators.