Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 75.4%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet10. Aug. 26, 23:11 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will win the civil war in Sudan?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran have a civil war before the start of 2028?
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Manifold MarketsSudan civil war ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketWill there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
FutuurWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC, the civil war in Myanmar is officially declared or widely recognized as ended.
- The end of the conflict must satisfy at least one of the following conditions:
- Comprehensive Peace Agreement: A formal, nationwide peace agreement, political settlement, or permanent ceasefire is signed between the central ruling authority of Myanmar (the military-led State Administration Council (SAC) or its successor) and the primary armed opposition groups (including the National Unity Government (NUG) and key coalitions like the Three Brotherhood Alliance or its constituent Ethnic Armed Organizations (EAOs)).
- The agreement must be officially announced and remain actively in effect on December 31, 2027.
- Localized, temporary, or fragmented bilateral truces do not qualify.
Offene Märkte
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- September 30+1.0pt80%
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+2 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Gesamtvolumen
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 75% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027? entschieden?
- Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria