Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 60%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet6. Juli 26, 14:45 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will be the USAJMO Cutoff for 2027?
Manifold MarketsUSA(J)MO cutoffs are biased?
Manifold MarketsUS test scores in Reading in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Mathematical Association of America (MAA) officially and publicly releases the numerical index qualification cutoffs (the combined AMC and AIME index threshold) for the USA Mathematical Olympiad (USAMO) and/or the USA Junior Mathematical Olympiad (USAJMO) for any future competition cycle on or before December 31, 2028.
- This market will resolve to NO if no such official numerical cutoffs are publicly released by the MAA by December 31, 2028.
- Key Details:
- Official Source: The cutoff scores must be published directly by the MAA on their official website (e.g., maa.org) or via an official MAA AMC communications platform.
- Exclusions: Unofficial estimations, crowdsourced data, or statistics compiled by third parties (such as the Art of Problem Solving community, tutoring organizations, or individual coordinators) will not trigger a YES resolution unless they are explicitly adopted and published officially by the MAA.
Offene Märkte
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+0.9pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-21.9pt48%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 230.755,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 77.061 €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt12%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 109.481,6 €
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2905,6 €
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will MAA release cutoff scores for USA(J)MO ever again??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 60% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will MAA release cutoff scores for USA(J)MO ever again? entschieden?
- Will MAA release cutoff scores for USA(J)MO ever again? soll am 31. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will MAA release cutoff scores for USA(J)MO ever again? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria