Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 52.1%
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet15. Aug. 26, 14:50 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill I think jury nullification occured in the Luigi Mangione case?
Manifold MarketsWill James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
KalshiWill James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
LimitlessLuigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLuigi Mangione tried before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve "YES" if the New York state murder case against Luigi Mangione is dismissed before a jury is sworn or the court accepts a guilty plea pursuant to a qualifying plea deal.
- If a jury is sworn or the court accepts a guilty plea pursuant to a qualifying plea deal, the market will resolve "NO".
- A qualifying plea deal is any plea deal where Luigi Mangione agrees to plead guilty or no contest and doesn't reserve any unique appeal rights.
- The resolution of this market will not be affected by the dismissal of other charges against Luigi Mangione or appeals of the dismissal.
- Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself.
- While the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end-all, be-all, and all traders should look at the rules.