Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91.8%
Prognostiker
199
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet18. Jan. 25, 02:16 UTC1. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which counts will Luigi Mangione be convicted on?
Manifold MarketsWill Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder of her 3 children?
Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLuigi Mangione tried before 2027?
PolymarketWill Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced?
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Same resolution criteria as: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-luigi-mangione-be-convicted-of
- Except, one year later.
- This market will resolve YES if:
- Luigi Mangione is convicted of murder (any degree) in connection with Brian Thompson's death by a court of law before January 1st, 2027.
- Luigi Mangione pleads guilty to murder charges in connection with Brian Thompson's death before January 1st, 2027.
- The market will resolve NO if:
Offene Märkte
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 347.549,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
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POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 497.379,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.478 €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
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- 675.987,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8196,4 €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
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- Yes5.9%
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KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
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- Yes-1.0pt16%
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POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 92% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027? entschieden?
- Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Same resolution criteria as: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-luigi-mangione-be-convicted-of