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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolitikEuropeCrime & Justice18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 9%+0.0%
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

201 €

Liquidität

16.438,6 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

8.0% / 9.0%

Spread

12.5%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-2.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

19. Mai 26, 20:4930. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes9%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
  • The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
  • The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.