Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Any arrests where criminal/suspect references Mangione or the case 100%Führend unter 31 Optionen
Any arrests where criminal/suspect references Mangione or the case 100%Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet16. Dez. 24, 16:37 UTC31. Dez. 26, 05:00 UTC
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Luigi Mangione NY Trial Prop Bets [Add Answers]
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Manifold MarketsLuigi Mangione tried before 2027?
PolymarketLuigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketWill Luigi Mangione live until he is sentenced?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Each proposition will resolve independently based on publicly verifiable information from reputable news sources or official court documents before the start of the trial.
- Specific resolution criteria:
- Venue change: a request for a change of venue must be filed under NY CLS CPL § 230.20
- Venue change granted: court grants motion under NY CLS CPL § 230.20
- Reference arrests: Must be documented arrests where the suspect/criminal explicitly cites Mangione or this case as inspiration/motivation
- Plea deal: formal agreement to plead guilty or no contest
