Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 55.3%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet8. Mai 23, 20:32 UTC31. Mai 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Resolves YES when I complete my Ph.D. (measured by successfully defending my thesis) or NO if I have not done so by the close date (5 academic years after my start).
- I appear to be moving at a pace where this seems plausible but research is unpredictable.
- There are also potential reasons why I may try to do a 6th year even if not strictly necessary (funding isn't necessarily guaranteed for a 6th year but can be obtained sometimes).
- Currently though I'd like to graduate in 5 if I can.
- Since my personal decisions can influence this market's outcome significantly, I won't bet on it.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will I get my math Ph.D. within 5 years of starting??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 55.3% (Stand: 23. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will I get my math Ph.D. within 5 years of starting? entschieden?
- Will I get my math Ph.D. within 5 years of starting? soll am 31. Mai 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will I get my math Ph.D. within 5 years of starting? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES when I complete my Ph.D. (measured by successfully defending my thesis) or NO if I have not done so by the close date (5 academic years after my start).
